world news - 25.04.2003

Italy: Woodworking Machinery Orders Still Falling. The critical situation of global economy was once again confirmed by a significant decrease in orders (-11.1 percent from the same period of last year) that affected Italian woodworking machinery and technology in the first quarter of 2003.


This trend feeds the worries of an industry that seemed to glimpse early signs of recovery. But it was mere illusion, and the feeling that the Italian market might bring some satisfaction in the past semester has not become a reality.

On the contrary, the first three months of 2003 recorded a “heavy” drop in domestic orders, down by 25.5 percent, while – all in all – foreign markets did not excessively ‘punish’ Italian companies, as the decrease of international orders was limited to 2.5 percent.

As to prices, the figures collected by the Studies Office of Acimall, the association of Italian woodworking machinery and tools manufacturers, reveal an average increase by 0.6 percent, while the “orders book” further shrank from the previous quarter, now amounting to 2.2 months.

The quality survey indicates that 35 percent of the interviewed companies (a statistic sample representative of the whole industry) declare stationary production volumes in Q1 2003. According to 9 percent, the trend increased, but as many as 56 percent talked of recession. Available stocks are stable according to 50 percent, decreasing according to 28 percent and increasing for the remaining 22 percent.

Employment is considered as “stationary” by 75 percent of the sample and falling by the rest of the sample. None of the interviewees mentioned an increasing number of employees.

The forecast survey, as it often happens, is the result of two opposing conditions. Global markets – which represent the largest portion of the total turnover of the Italian industry, close to 2 billion Euro annually – will grow according to 28 percent of the sample, while 47 percent expect stability and 25 percent further recession (positive balance +3). As to the Italian market, short-term expectations have not changed, unfortunately: 66 percent of the interviewees predict a stable trend, 10 percent an improvement, and 22 percent a further decrease (negative balance –10).

“Such negative figures have a different meaning – commented Luciano Costa, Acimall President – if you consider some specific factors. First of all, the shrinkage of the Italian market, after an expansion period in 2002 also due to the Tremonti act. The end of fiscal facilitations introduced with that act further worsened the widespread recession that had already affected the international markets. During a recent meeting with Vice Minister Urso, we submitted a proposal to extend the Tremonti act until the end of 2003, so as to mitigate the effects of this negative trend, that is also having serious consequences on employment.

We should not forget that, in our industry as well as for the world economy in general, the uncertainty related to the Iraq war was disruptive, and we now hope that the was is finally coming to an end. And I feel like the whole of 2003 will be probably characterized by an uncertain climate, so Acimall’s support to export promotion will be even more essential for our member companies.

In this respect, I would like to remind that we have recently launched a joint promotion program with ICE, the Italian foreign trade institute.

In our vision, the program meets the expectations of a strongly export-oriented industry like ours, which gives a substantial contribution to the positive trend of the Italian trade balance”.

ACIMALL


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