world news - 02.04.2009

Russia’s role in the global forestry sector and its prospects for the future

The top 100 companies in the global forestry, pulp-and-paper and packaging industry (FPP) demonstrated varied financial performance in 2007, reflecting consid14erable differences in the different regions’ business and economic situations.

The three leading regions in terms of return on capital employed (ROCE), the main performance index, were Latin America (7.8%), developing Asian countries (7.3%) and the US (5.5%). Canadian producers had the lowest average ROCE (negative 0.1%), which reflects the financial crisis that the Canadian forestry industry is suffering. The total average ROCE for the companies surveyed was relatively stable compared to the previous year’s figure (4.8%) and was considerably far from the industry target indices of 10-12%. Fast growing markets, primarily China and India, appeared to be more stable and continued their rapid development.

In 2007, high GDP growth rates were sustained in China (11.4%), India (9.2%), Russia (8.1%) and Latin America (5.6%). The leaders in the FPP industry are the fast growing economies of Asia – notably China – as well as Latin America and Russia.

Alexei Ivanov, Partner in the Forestry, Pulp-and-Paper group at PricewaterhouseCoopers, comments: "The global forestry, pulp-and-paper industry is largely affected by both commercial and environmental factors, creating new opportunities for some regions and setting challenges for others. Entities with the lowest production costs find themselves in an advantageous position in terms of fluctuations in exchange rates and a rise in costs, which allows them to seize new opportunities and enter new markets".

The best performing companies in 2007 include Setra Group of Sweden, with a ROCE of 25.2%; Kimberly-Clark in Mexico, with a ROCE of 20.3%; and Kimberly-Clark in the US, with a ROCE of 15.2%.

The capital reinvestment ratio (i.e., investments in proportion to depreciation, or an index reflecting to what extent depreciating assets are replaced by capital investments), was 1.2 for the PwC Top 100. In previous years, this index was less than 1.0. This positive trend is largely attributable to the growth of Chinese and Latin American manufacturers, with indices of 3.08 and 2.84, respectively. Canada is at the opposite end of the scale with a reinvestment index of 0.4 in 2007. It is expected that mergers and closures will increase in regions like North America which have smaller, older companies that are unable to compete with high-tech, low-cost manufacturers in Latin America.

Indeed, the industry’s growth is propelled by forestry companies operating in emerging economies, notably China, India, Latin America and Russia. In terms of deliveries, it is increasingly evident that South America has the competitive advantage, while China has the largest impact on demand. Additionally, the number of companies from emerging economies in the PwC Top 100 is increasing. In 2007, China’s Sino Forest, Shangdong Huatai Paper and Lee & Mann Paper and India’s Ballarpur Industries entered the list.

In terms of revenue, in 2007 the US company International Paper was ranked first in the PwC Top 100, with sales of 21.9 billion US Dollars, just under this entity’s 22 billion US Dollars in sales in 2006. The Finnish Stora Enso is listed second with sales of 18.32 billion US Dollars, or 12% higher than in 2006 (16.27 billion US Dollars). The US company Kimberly-Clark is ranked third with 18.27 billion US Dollars in sales, or 9% higher than last year’s 16.75 billion US Dollars. In 2007, the 20 biggest companies from the PwC Top 100 accounted for 60% of total sales.


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